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USD/JPY FACES SOME CONSOLIDATION NEAR TERM – UOB

USD/JPY could move into a consolidative phase in the near term ahead of a probable move to 115.00, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

KEY QUOTES

24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘deeply overbought conditions coupled with some early signs of slowing momentum suggest that USD is unlikely to strengthen much further’ and we expected USD to ‘trade sideways between 113.90 and 114.50’. USD subsequently traded between 114.00 and 114.44. The underlying tone has improved somewhat and USD could edge higher from here. That said, the major resistance at 114.55 is unlikely to come into the picture. Support is at 114.00 followed 113.85.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (18 Oct, spot at 114.20). As highlighted, USD is still strong but overbought conditions could lead to consolidation first. The next resistance is at 114.55 followed by 115.00. The current USD strength is deemed intact as long as 113.50 (no change in ‘strong support’ level from yesterday) is not breached.”

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